Tuesday night the NBA playoffs can mean only one thing, elimination. But if you’re a fan of any type of basketball game, you can’t help but think about which team will be the one sent to the middles seed and which team will be sent to the first round.
Unfortunately for those of you who like to bet on basketball, this is where a problem begins. In the vast majority of cases it’s very difficult to predict the outcome of a first round game. You can never tell how a team will fare against a team in the same conference or against a team with a very similar style as their own.
There are exceptions, of course, but those cases are almost always the exception and not the rule. The first round is almost always a completely different story. There is so much information available that it’s a statistical waste of time to sort through it and decide what you’re effecting. You can, of course, use handicapping software to get those answers, but much of the information is either trap or hasn’t been reported at all.
There are, of course, manyandals in the NBA, many of them very serious ones, but there is also the possibility of a serious injury to a key player that might affect the outcome of a game. I rarely play a game more than once, because it’s so easy to toss away the Select One and Start Right Now option. If I think I’m in the clear, I always place the bet.
What this all means is that you really need to understand good Dewacasino management before you can begin to use an NBA sports betting system successfully. You are likely already aware of the importance of building a strong bankroll year after year and the many tempting offers that you’ll see on the internet that claim a guaranteed 97% win rate. Yeah, right. That doesn’t seem to matter when you’re winning. But, what about the times you lose?
Many bettors fall into the “you have to win every time” trap. They read one of these internet articles with a guarantee like 97%, but they put money down on a game to compete with because they have a bankroll they need for the game. It sounds easy, but those losses hurt, and they won’t allow you to pick yourself out of a hole that bigger than your house is ready to muck out of.
There are some absolute sucker systems out there. They are only looking at the short term. They have schemes for winning in the short term that completely change the nature of the game. That’s what they are for, though. A way to potentially win big money without thinking about it.
I do not want to hear anyone saying you can’t implement a betting system, because that is true. They are only looking at the short term. If you only take those lessons from winners, you will be a loser. What you have to do is adjust your betting because the public loves to bet the abnormally high favorites. That increases the number ofooter situations you run into. It means you will lose more often.
If you are winning, yes, you can get a little lucky and win a couple of coin flips. I’m sure you know that. It happens to the best of us-what you need to do is leave your hard earned cash at the door. When you lose, you can buy back in with a little more, and that will teach you to pick yourself up a little faster.
There are no wrong answers to any of the above questions. They are all subjective, but at the same time you have the right to let your opinion be known. All I can say is, if you decide to do anything different than I have outlined, then you can improve your chances of winning, but not enough to completely overcome the house edge, which will ultimately put you at a disadvantage.
Ultimately, the only way to win is to alter the odds of the game in your favor. You can do this by handicapping games prior to the season and coming up with picks based on the lines of the game, not fan alties or injuries. You still have to pick a lot of games, though, and be selective. You have to create a system and stick to it.